Revised Definitive Tables and Figures on the Gubernatorial Race in Ekiti State (April 2007/April-May 2009)

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OPERATION-PROTECT-YOUR-EKITI-VOTE #14:  REVISED DEFINITIVE TABLES OF RESULTS & FIGURES ON THE GUBERNATORIAL RACE IN EKITI (APRIL 2007/APRIL-MAY 2009)


PREPARED BY BOLAJI ALUKO

MAY 1, 2009

REVISED MAY 2, 2009

REVISED MAY 3, 2009

Summary:

As a first-hand eye-witness to the unfolding electoral saga in my Ekiti State, it is necessary to lay out some facts and figures as I know them, and as objectively as possible DESPITE the fact that I was one of three official INEC-notified Action-Congress Party agents for candidate Dr. Kayode Fayemi for the re-run elections. [The other two are Chief Tony Adeniyi (SAN) and Mr. Bimbo Daramola.]

I saw with MY OWN EYES ALL of the official INEC Form EC8C documents approved by AC agents for eight of the ten local governments re-run on April 25 – including those NOT announced by INEC yet, but already collated –  EXCEPT those of Ido-Osi and Oye.  The former was NEVER sighted by AC agents at ANY TIME – because they were collated away under violent circumstances from the public eye, and hence invalid –  and the latter does not exist because no election occurred in Oye on April 25. [Note that Form EC8C is the FINAL LGA-collation-level form BEFORE INEC announces results, which emanate from Form EC8B ward-collation-level forms that are in turn derived from form EC8A polling-unit results forms.]

Consequently:

(1)  In Table A below,  we use INEC-approved and Appeal-Court-approved election figures from ALL the sixteen (16) LGAS in Ekiti State to show that based on the April 14, 2007 results, Fayemi led Oni 78,779 to 66,834 (for a difference of 11,945 votes in favor of Fayemi) going into the Re-Run elections of April 25, 2009.

(2)  In Table B, following the re-run, we use the results from the only five LGAs (Ise-Orun, Gbonyin, Irepodun/Ifelodun, Ekiti-Southwest and Ijero) that were  accepted  and announced  by INEC (on April 25, 2009) so far to show Oni’s re-run-election lead from those five LGAs being 15,420 to Fayemi’s  15,026 (for a difference of 394 in favor of Oni). The overall difference is still however 11,551 in favor of Fayemi.

(3)  In Table C, we add in three LGAs (Ekiti-West, Ekiti East and Ikole) not yet announced by INEC as of today May 2, 2009 – but whose figures are known and agreed to by all political parties – to show that Fayemi leads overall by 102,452 to 94,106 over Oni (a difference of 8,346 in favor of Fayemi).

(4)  Table C excludes any re-run figures being added to Ido-Osi LGA (which re-run elections should and must be cancelled) or to Oye LGA (which re-run ought to be cancelled, or its re-rerun date given following a 14-day notice).  Both cancellations are recommended due to violence on April 25, 2009.

(5)  In Table D, we show a summary of Tables A, B and C, bringing all the numbers together.

(6)  In Table E, we summarize information on cancelled wards, and show that

(i)  there are a total of 16 LGAs, 177 wards, and 2,195 polling stations in Ekiti State, for a total electorate count of 738,335.

(ii) on April 14, 2005, a total of 15 wards were cancelled by INEC (10 of them in Efon LGA) due to violence on that  original gubernatorial election day, with a total electorate count of 42,469, and were never scheduled for re-run.

(iii) on February 17, 2009, a total of 63 wards spread unevenly over 10 LGAs and 796 polling units were cancelled  by  the Appeals Court on judgment day, for a total electorate count of  248,910, and were then offered up for a re-run on April 25, 2009.

(iv) on April 25, 2009, violence manifested in only 1. 2 LGAs (Ido-Osi and Oye), over  6 wards total and 53 polling units [Ifaki I (8 PUs), Ifaki II (10), Orin-Ora (19) and Usi (16), in Ido-Osi LGA; and Oye I (19 PUs) and Oye II (17) in Oye LGA] with a total electorate count of 38,334. Oye (18,924 electorate count, 36 polling units) is just 2 wards out of 12 in Oye LGA. A bloated vote count from Ido-Osi LGA of 15,939 for Oni, and 3,793 for Fayemi suddenly  appeared from nowhere from the PDP camp.  13,025 of the Oni count came from four wards only (Ifaki I, Ifaki II,  Usi and Orin/Ora).

(v)  Consequently, 1.2 LGAs out of 16 total (20%), 6 wards out of 177 total (3.4%), 53 polling units out of 2,195 (2.4%),  and an electorate count of 38,334 out of 738,335 (5.2%) are presently what are in contention before Ekiti’s INEC and its conscientious Resident Electoral Commissioner, Mrs. Ayoka Olusola Adebayo.

(7)  In Table F, we show the error-filled and outrightly-fake figures being bandied around by the PDP-Ekiti and reproduced by compliant newspapers to show that Oni is leading.  The figures include some allotted numbers from Ido-Osi LGA:  15,939 for Oni and 3,793 for Fayemi, clearly outlier numbers when compared with all the other numbers from various other local governments. They were obtained through violence and corruption, and will ultimately be rejected by the Ekiti REC, despite any pre-emptive propaganda news to the contrary.

So print out all the tables and study them closely.

Ekiti peoples’ vigilance paid off.  Consequently, this writer (and partisan) watches closely to see how the true winner of this election – Fayemi –  will not emerge within the next three weeks, no matter whether Oye elections are re-run or not, together with the insistence that the Ido-Osi re-run elections stand cancelled.

There you have it – that the world may know.

Bolaji Aluko
May 3, 2009
Burtonsville, MD, USA
Back from operational base and information nerve-center in “Camp John”, Ekiti State
INEC-notified, Action-Congress party agent for April 25 Re-run elections
Happy to answer ANY questions

TABLE A: POST-APPEAL, PRE-RE-RUN FIGURES FOR EKITI GUBERNATORIAL ELECTIONS

S/N LGA AC/FAYEMI PDP/ONI DIFFERENCE

FOR FAYEMI

WINNER COMMENT
1 Ado 16,612 9,700 6,912 Fayemi
2 Moba 8,364 7,792 572 Fayemi
3 Ilejemeje 2,122 3,405 -1,283 Oni
4 Ikere 6,971 6,214 757 Fayemi
5 Emure 3,645 2,925 720 Fayemi
6 Efon 0 0 0 INEC-cancelled

April 14, 2007

7 Ise-Orun 0 0 0 Court-cancelled

Feb. 17, 2009

8 Gbonyin 3,091 4,050 -959 Oni
9 Ekiti-SouthWest 6,755 7,133 -378 Oni
10 Ijero 3,478 3,989 -511 Oni
11 Irepodun/Ifelodun 4,224 1,578 2,646 Fayemi
12 Ekiti West 6,468 6,174 294 Fayemi
13 Ekiti East 4,000 4,006 -6 Oni
14 Ikole 2,514 2,390 124 Fayemi
15 Ido-Osi 0 0 0 Court-cancelled

Feb. 17, 2009

16 Oye 10,535 7,478 3,057 Fayemi
TOTAL

(Post-Appeal, Pre-Re-Run)

78,779 66,834 11,945 Fayemi

TABLE B: APRIL 25 INEC-ANNOUNCED RE-RUN FIGURES  [+ POST-APPEAL TOTALS]

S/N LGA AC/FAYEMI PDP/ONI DIFFERENCE

FOR FAYEMI

WINNER COMMENT
0 Post-Appeal, Pre-Re-Run 78,779 66,834 11,945 Fayemi Brought

Forward from

Table A

1 Ise-Orun 4,221 3,864 357 Fayemi
2 Gbonyin 2,871 1,925 946 Fayemi
3 Ekiti-SouthWest 351 423 -72 Oni
4 Ijero 1,881 5,121 -3,240 Oni
5 Irepodun/Ifelodun 5,702 4,087 1,615 Fayemi
SubTotal (Re-run announcements) Oni
TOTAL

(Post-Appeal +

Announced Re-Run wards)

93,805 82,254 11,551 Fayemi

TABLE C:  FIGURES NOT ANNOUNCED BY INEC YET (BUT WILL BE ACCEPTED BY FAYEMI/ACTION CONGRESS  IF AND WHEN ANNOUNCED)  [+POST-APPEAL RESULTS + APRIL 25-INEC-ANNOUNCED RE-RUN RESULTS]

S/N LGA AC/FAYEMI PDP/ONI DIFFERENCE

FOR FAYEMI

WINNER COMMENT
0 Post-Appeal + INEC-Announced 93,805 82,254 11,551 Fayemi Brought

Forward from

Table B

1 Ekiti-West 1,149 2,497 -1,348 Oni
2 Ekiti East 3,829 4,711 -882 Oni
3 Ikole 3,669 4,644 -975 Oni
4 Ido-Osi 0 0 0 Must  be cancelled due to violence; Ekiti INEC  yet to announce decision; PDP fake claim of AC – 3,793 and PDP – 15,939 for Ido-Osi  is palpably absurd and will not stand
5 Oye 0 0 0 Should be cancelled; Ekiti INEC yet to announce decision (there might just be re- re-run!)
Subtotal
TOTAL

(Post-Appeal +

INEC Announced

+ INEC to be Announced – Ido – Oye)

102,452 94,106 8,346 Fayemi

TABLE D: GRAND SUMMARY OF POST-APPEAL, POST-RE-RUN FIGURES FOR EKITI GUBERNATORIAL ELECTIONS  (SUMMARIZING TABLES A, B & C COMBINED)

S/N LGA AC/FAYEMI PDP/ONI DIFFERENCE

FOR FAYEMI

WINNER COMMENT
1 Ado 16,612 9,700 6,912 Fayemi
2 Moba 8,364 7,792 572 Fayemi
3 Ilejemeje 2,122 3,405 -1,283 Oni
4 Ikere 6,971 6,214 757 Fayemi
5 Emure 3,645 2,925 720 Fayemi
6 Efon 0 0 0
7 Ise-Orun 4,221 3,864 357 Fayemi Includes re-run
8 Gbonyin 5,962 5,975 -13 Oni Includes re-run
9 Ekiti-SouthWest 7,106 7,556 -450 Oni Includes re-run
10 Ijero 5359 9110 -3,751 Oni Includes re-run
11 Irepodun/Ifelodun 9,926 5,665 4,261 Fayemi Includes re-run
12 Ekiti West 7,617 8,671 -1,054 Oni Includes re-run
13 Ekiti East 7,829 8,717 -888 Oni Includes re-run
14 Ikole 6,183 7,034 -851 Oni Includes re-run
15 Ido-Osi 0 0 0 Re-run cancelled?
16 Oye 10,535 7,478 3,057 Fayemi Re-run cancelled or

postponed?

TOTAL Fayemi Winning/Winner

TABLE E: WARDS CANCELLED BY INEC (IN APRIL 2007), CANCELLED BY APPEAL COURT (IN FEBRUARY 2009) AND SUBJECT TO  CANCELLATION BY INEC (IN MAY 2009)


S/N LGA HQTR. TOTAL

REG’D

VOTERS

TOTAL

NO.

OF
WARDS

TOTAL

NO.

OF

POLLING

UNITS

(PUs)

NO.

OF

POLLING

UNITS

(PUs) TO BE RE-RUN

APRIL 2007

WARDS

(CANCELLED BY INEC, BUT NOT TO BE RE-RUN)

APRIL 2007

CANCELLED
ELECTORATE

COUNT

FEB. 2009

WARDS

(CANCELLED BY APPEAL

COURT, TO BE RE-RUN)

FEB. 2009

CANCELLED

ELECTORATE

COUNT

MAY 2009

(MAY BE CANCELLED BY INEC)

MAY 2009

CANCELLED

ELECTORATE

COUNT

1 Ado Ado 110,417 13 207 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Moba Otun 50,099 11 112 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Ilejemeje Iye 41,281 10 91 0 3 15,665 0 0 0 0
4 Ikere Ikere 38,886 11 86 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Emure Emure 28,087 10 93 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Efon Efon-Alaaye 17,367 10 119 0 10 17,366 0 0 0 0
SubTotal 0 13 0 0 0 0
7 Ise-Orun Ise 27,321 10 108 108 0 0 10 27,321 0 0
8 Gbonyin Ode 37,451 10 103 39 0 0 3 17,768 0 0
9 Ekiti-SouthWest Ilawe 35,739 11 188 15 0 0 1 1,718 0 0
10 Ijero Ijero 40,638 12 138 80 0 0 7 21,916 0 0
11 Irepodun/Ifelodun Igede 53,303 11 160 100 0 0 8 37,843 0 0
SubTotal 0 0 29 0 0
12 Ekiti West Aramoko 54,422 11 184 63 0 0 4 17,933 0 0
13 Ekiti East Omuo 51,975 12 95 63 0 0 8 29,335 0 0
14 Ikole Ikole 40,669 12 182 153 0 0 9 30,156 0 0
15 Ido-Osi Ifaki 45,986 11 139 139 0 0 11 45,986 11 45,986
16 Oye Oye 64,694 12 190 36 2 9,437 2 18,934 2 18,934
SubTotal 2 9,437 34
GRAND TOTAL 177 2,195 796 15 42,469 63 248,910




TABLE F:  FAKE SUMMARY TOTAL RESULTS ADVERTISED BY THE PDP IN EKITI IN COMPASS NEWSPAPER  ON TUESDAY, APRIL 28, 2009

S/N LGA AC/FAYEMI PDP/ONI DIFFERENCE

FOR FAYEMI

WINNER COMMENT
1 Ado 16,612 9,900 6,712 Fayemi PDP figure inflated by 200 (correct figure should be 9,700)
2 Moba 8,364 7,792 572 Fayemi Correct
3 Ilejemeje 2,122 3,405 -1,283 Oni Correct
4 Ikere 6,971 6,219 752 Fayemi PDP figure  inflated by 5 (correct figure should be 6,214)
5 Emure 3,645 2,925 720 Fayemi Correct
6 Efon 0 0 0 PDP advertised table omitted reference to Efon entirely
7 Ise-Orun 4,221 3,864 357 Fayemi PDP Table entirely omitted AC figure of 4,221 and PDP figure of 3,864 for this LGA
8 Gbonyin 5,962 5,975 -13 Oni Correct
9 Ekiti-SouthWest 6,196 6,433 -237 Oni Correct figures are be AC 7,106 and PDP 7,556
10 Ijero 4,754 8,521 -3,767 Oni Correct figures are AC 5,359 and PDP 9,110
11 Irepodun/Ifelodun 9,926 5,665 4,261 Fayemi Correct
12 Ekiti West 7,545 8,767 -1,222 Oni Correct figures are AC 7,617 and PDP 8,671
13 Ekiti East 7,829 8,717 -888 Oni Correct
14 Ikole 6,119 6,827 -708 Oni Correct figures are AC 6,183 and PDP 7,034
15 Ido-Osi 3,793 15,939 -12,146 Oni Bloated figures; Re-run to be cancelled due to violence?
16 Oye 10,535 7,478 3,057 Fayemi Correct
TOTAL 104,594 108,427 Oni FALSE!


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