Clinton Faces Daunting Delegate Deficit

2 Comments » February 21st, 2008 posted by // Categories: Spotlight


You do the math….


Clinton Faces Daunting Delegate Deficit

February 21, 2008 – 5:39am

AP Special Correspondent


Obama’s victories in

Another 1,025 remain to be awarded, most of them in contests in 14 states, Puerto Rico. It takes 2,025 to win the nomination.

Further complicating Clinton’s challenge, Obama appears particularly well-positioned to win at least one of the remaining states with ease. Louisiana.

The rival campaigns maintain their own delegate counts. And while both agree Obama is the leader, they differ on the significance.

“The only way in this system to amass delegates is to win by big margins. Close races result in close delegate distribution,”

“The only way she can do it is winning states like

Clinton’s top aides said Plouffe was deliberately trying to set unrealistically high expectations for the former first lady.

“We expect to do well in both those states,” said Harold Ickes, speaking of Texas and Ohio, which hold primaries on March 4. “But 65 percent is a far reach and there is no expectation here that we’re going to hit that number.”

“We’re in the neighborhood of about 75 delegates behind, that is less that 3 percent of the total number of delegates who have been elected. We expect to narrow that gap substantially by the end of this process,” he added.

Obama’s lead in delegates won at the ballot box is partially offset by Clinton’s advantage among superdelegates _ members of Congress, governors and other party leaders who are unpledged to either candidate. She leads in that category, 238-173, cutting Obama’s overall margin to 89 delegates in the AP count.

Superdelegates are free to shift allegiances. And Clinton’s recent string of primary and caucuses defeats coincides with a slow erosion of support among the same party leaders who established her as the front-runner months before the first votes were cast.

She has failed to add any since Super Tuesday on Feb. 5, while Obama is slowly gaining ground.

The former first lady lost two more superdelegates during the day, both in New Jersey, when one switched to Obama and the other moved to uncommitted.

Additionally, Reps. Lloyd Doggett of Texas and Ron Kind of Wisconsin, both superdelegates, endorsed Obama.

“My constituents overwhelmingly chose Barack Obama to be their nominee, and I am proud to pledge my superdelegate vote to him as well,” Kind said in a statement.

Further underscoring Clinton’s political peril, Rep. David Scott of Georgia announced he would vote for Obama rather than the former first lady, and Rep. John Lewis said he might switch, as well.

Superdelegates aside, results in earlier states show how difficult Clinton will find it to overtake Obama’s lead when the primaries resume in two weeks.

In general, delegates are allocated on the basis of popular votes within congressional districts, and any candidate who gains 15 percent of the vote is entitled to at least one.

Clinton won New Jersey with 54 percent of the vote and Massachusetts with 56 percent on Feb. 5. But because Obama ran relatively well, particularly in some congressional districts, she won the delegate competition by only 28 delegates combined in the two states.

Contrast that to Obama’s home state of Illinois, he won slightly less than 65 percent of the vote _ and won 55 more delegates than Clinton.

The contests left on the calendar include primaries in Ohio, Texas, Wyoming, Guam and Puerto Rico. There are 44 delegates unallocated from primaries and caucuses held earlier.


Associated Press Writer Stephen Ohlemacher contributed to this report


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2 Responses to “Clinton Faces Daunting Delegate Deficit”

  1. Ifedayo says:

    I think a Clinton/Obama ticket gives the Democrats a better chance of occupying the White House for the next 16 years.
    Despite McCain’s somewhat suspicious conservative credentials, I think he will win an election against Obama in 2009.
    I have been wrong before…

    • MoAl says:

      The American economy is struggling so badly right now, I’m almost certain we wouldn’t allow another Republican in support of the war into office … otherwise we’re headed for a strong recession

      …16 years would be nice …

      McCain is a strong candidate, and I think in any other situation he could win, but not in our current economic climate … and not with the promises Obama gives

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