Nigeria`s Current External (as of June 30, 2007) and Domestic (as of March 2007) Debt Profiles August 21, 2007 | posted by Nigerian Muse (Archives)
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STAR INFORMATION: Nigeria's Current External (as of June 30, 2007) and Domestic (as of March 2007) Debt Profiles
Compiled by NigerianMuse.com [August 21, 2007]
DEBT MANAGEMENT OFFICE
TABLE 1: Nigeria's External Debt Stock as at 30th June, 2007
in millions of USD
Sources:
http://www.dmo.gov.ng/debtprofile/resources/externaldebtlibrary/DebtStock.pdf
http://www.dmo.gov.ng/debtprofile/resources/externaldebtlibrary/Debt_Stock83-04.pdf
|
Category
|
Principal Balance
|
Principal Arrears
|
Interest Arrears
|
Total
|
Per centage
|
|
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
|
MULTILATERAL
World Bank Group
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IBRD
|
424.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
424.88
|
|
|
IDA
|
1,623.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,623.74
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IFAD
|
43.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.66
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
African Dev. Bank Group
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ADB
|
383.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
383.51
|
|
|
ADF
|
206.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
206.99
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ecowas Fund
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
EIB
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
EDF
|
136.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.70
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SUB-TOTAL
|
2,819.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,819.48
|
84.21%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PARIS CLUB
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00%
|
|
NON – PARIS BILATERAL
|
156.53
|
0.000
|
0.000
|
156.53
|
|
|
|
156.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.53
|
4.67%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LONDON CLUB
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROMISSORY NOTES
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NON-PARIS COMMERCIAL
|
372.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
372.21
|
11.12%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 30th June 2007
|
3,348.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,348.22
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 2006
|
3,544.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,544.49
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 2005
|
20,477.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,477.97
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 2004
|
35,944.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35,944.66
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 2003
|
32,916.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32,916.81
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 2002
|
28,396.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28,396.89
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 2001
|
25,012.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25,012.01
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 2000
|
24,783.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24,783.77
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 1999
|
24,509.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24,509.90
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 1998
|
25,132.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25,132.70
|
100.00%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GRAND TOTAL 31st December 1997
|
27,087.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27,087.80
|
100.00%
|
Notes: (1) The stock increased from $3,287m to $3,348m due to the fall in dollar value vis-a-vis other currencies and the revision of the total amount disbursed for Papalanto and Omotosho loans to PHCL.
(2) The composition of Non-Paris Club and Commercial loans changed to reflect the changes advised during the last validation exercise by Mr. Maro Joe
Source: Debt Management Office, Nigeria
DOMESTIC DEBT PROFILE FOR NIGERIA
Source: http://www.dmo.gov.ng/publications/resources/UNDERSTANDING%20NIGERIA%20domestic%20debt%20FINAL.pdf?PHPSESSID=02baabca8eb4c5989068f8473f7a91c4
Nigeria's Domestic Debt : The Current Situation
[August 9, 2007]
Table 2a: Composition of Domestic Debt Portfolio (End-December, 2000)
|
Security Type
|
Amount
(N'billion)
|
%
of Total
|
|
NIGERIAN TREASURY BILLS
|
465.5
|
51.8
|
|
TREASURY BONDS
|
430.61
|
47.9
|
|
FRN DEV STOCKS
|
2.11
|
0.23
|
|
FGN BONDS
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
TOTAL
|
898.254
|
100.00
|
Table 2b: Composition of Domestic Debt Portfolio (End-March, 2007)
|
Security Type
|
Amount
(N'billion)
|
%
of Total
|
|
NIGERIAN TREASURY BILLS
|
698.11
|
37.40
|
|
TREASURY BONDS
|
413.59
|
22.16
|
|
FRN DEV STOCKS
|
0.720
|
0.04
|
|
FGN BONDS
|
753.94
|
40.40
|
|
TOTAL
|
1,866.37
|
100.00
|
Table 3: Yearly Analysis of Change in FGN Domestic Debt Portfolio
2005- End March 2007
|
Year of Issue
|
Amount of Debt Stock (N'bn)
|
Change in Debt Stock (N'bn)
|
Type of Instrument
|
Purpose of Change in Stock
|
|
2005
|
1,525,906
|
155,581
|
FGN BONDS
& NTBs
|
*2nd FGN Bonds of N178.27 bn broken
down as:
*Funding of N108.27 bn capital
expenditure
*N70 bn for 2005 budget deficit
*OMO of CBN NTBs (N 16 bn), Dev. St.
(N 0.27 bn), T-Bonds (N 5bn)
|
|
2006
|
1,753,259
|
227,353
|
FGN BONDS
& NTB's
|
*N45bn to part finance budget deficit
*Agency Bonds for 3 DFI's (N15 bn)
*Local Contractors (N91.6 bn) &
Pension Arrears (N75 bn)
|
|
2007 (End-
March)
|
1,863,768
|
110,509
|
FGN BONDS
& NTB's
|
*Part financing FGN budget deficit (N80
bn) so far
*Tinapa Bonds (N25 bn) in NTBs
*OMO CBN (N 5 bn)
|
Table 4: Total Pubic Debt as % of GDP
|
Country
|
%
|
Standard & Poor
S & P Rating
|
|
Lebanon
|
209.0
|
BB
|
|
Japan
|
176.2
|
AA
|
|
Jordan
|
72.2
|
BB
|
|
Morocco
|
70.9
|
BB
|
|
Germany
|
66.8
|
AAA
|
|
France
|
64.7
|
AAA
|
|
Turkey
|
64.7
|
BA3
|
|
US
|
64.7
|
AAA
|
|
Argentina
|
61.0
|
B
|
|
India
|
52.8
|
BB
|
|
Brazil
|
50.0
|
BB
|
|
Vietnam
|
47.5
|
BA3
|
|
UK
|
42.2
|
AAA
|
|
South Africa
|
32.9
|
BB
|
|
Korea
|
31.9
|
A2
|
|
China
|
22.1
|
A
|
|
Romania
|
21.4
|
BBB
|
|
Nigeria
|
10.4
|
BB
|
|
Russia
|
8.0
|
BB
|
Source: The World Fact Book, 2007
Note: These are Sovereign credit ratings, which indicate the risk level of the investing environment of a country and is used by investors looking to invest abroad.
QUOTE
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_%26_Poor%27s
[S&P] issues both short-term and long-term credit ratings.
Long-Term Credit Ratings
S&P rates companies on a scale from AAA to D. Intermediate ratings are offered at each level between AA and CCC ( i.e., BBB+, BBB and BBB-). For some companies, S&P may also offer guidance (termed a "credit watch") as to whether it is likely to be upgraded (positive), downgraded (negative) or uncertain (neutral).
Investment Grade
- AAA : the best quality companies, reliable and stable
- AA : quality companies, a bit higher risk than AAA
- A : economic situation can affect finance
- BBB : medium class companies, which are satisfactory at the moment
Non-Investment Grade (also known as junk bonds)
- BB : more prone to changes in the economy
- B : financial situation varies noticeably
- CCC : currently vulnerable and dependent on favorable economic conditions to meet its commitments
- CC : highly vulnerable, very speculative bonds
- C : highly vulnerable, perhaps in bankruptcy or in arrears but still continuing to pay out on obligations
- CI : past due on interest
- R : under regulatory supervision due to its financial situation
- SD : has selectively defaulted on some obligations
- D : has defaulted on obligations and S&P believes that it will generally default on most or all obligations
- NR : not rated
Short-Term Issue Credit Ratings
S&P rates specific issues on a scale from A-1 to D. Within the A-1 category it can be designated with a plus sign (+). This indicates that the issuer's commitment to meet its obligation is extremely strong. Country risk and currency of repayment of the obligor to meet the issue obligation are factored into the credit analysis and reflected in the issue rating.
- A-1 : obligor's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the obligation is strong
- A-2 : is susceptible to adverse economic conditions however the obligor's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the obligation is satisfactory
- A-3 : adverse economic conditions are likely to weaken the obligor's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the obligation
- B : has a significant speculative characteristics. The obligor currently has the capacity to meet its financial obligation but faces major ongoing uncertainties that could impacts its financial commitment on the obligation
- C : currently vulnerable to nonpayment and is dependent upon favourable business, financial and economic conditions for the obligor to meet its financial commitment on the obligation
- D : is in payment default. Obligation not made on due date and grace period may not have expired. The rating is also used upon the filing of a bankruptcy petition.
UNQUOTE
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